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AUT Austria Landesliga · Fixture ·

UFV Thalgau vs SV Strasswalchen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–35.34 expected goals
Away form
Home win38%
Draw22%
Away win40%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win40% selection probability
Projected score3–3UFV ThalgauSV Strasswalchen
Expected goals5.34Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over90% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes87% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 22% / 40%Match resultAway win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.2%)Double chance1277.8%1.29
Over 90% · Under 10%Goals 2.5Over90%1.11
Yes 87% · No 13%Both teams scoreYes87%1.15
5.34 total expected goalsCorrect score3–3
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
UFV Thalgau win38%2.63
Draw22%4.55
SV Strasswalchen win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UFV Thalgau2.62

Home share of expected goals 49.1%

Total expected goals5.34Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 90% · Under 10%

SV Strasswalchen2.72

Away share of expected goals 50.9%

Projected score3–3BTTS splitYes 87% · No 13%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

UFV Thalgau

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

SV Strasswalchen

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Win probability excluding draw
40%
6
Points from supplied form
9
2.62
Expected goals
2.72
UFV ThalgauSV Strasswalchen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UFV Thalgau signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Strasswalchen signalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

UFV Thalgau vs SV Strasswalchen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 3–3 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UFV Thalgau win 38%,Draw 22%,SV Strasswalchen win 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.34 · Over 2.5 90% · Current selection Over