Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 28% / 17%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes TSU Matrei win (16.9%)Double chance1X83.1%1.20
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 36% · No 64%Both teams scoreNo64%1.56
2.27 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
SV Spittal/Drau win55%1.82
Draw28%3.57
TSU Matrei win17%5.88
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 75.3%
Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%
Away share of expected goals 24.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 36% · No 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchSV Spittal/Drau
DLWLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchTSU Matrei
LLLWD
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
17%4
Points from supplied form
41.71
Expected goals
0.56SV Spittal/DrauTSU Matrei
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
SV Spittal/Drau vs TSU Matrei FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
SV Spittal/Drau win 55%，Draw 28%，TSU Matrei win 17%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.27 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under。