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AUT Austria Landesliga · Zápas ·

SV Spittal/Drau vs TSU Matrei

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.27 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich55%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostí17%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich55% selection probability
Projected score2–1SV Spittal/DrauTSU Matrei
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej60% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
55% / 28% / 17%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes TSU Matrei win (16.9%)Dvojitá šanca1X83.1%1.20
Viac 40% · Menej 60%Goals 2.5Menej60%1.67
Áno 36% · Nie 64%Oba tímy skórujúNie64%1.56
2.27 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
8.9 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
SV Spittal/Drau win55%1.82
Remíza28%3.57
TSU Matrei win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SV Spittal/Drau1.71

Domáci share of expected goals 75.3%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 40% · Menej 60%

TSU Matrei0.56

Hostia share of expected goals 24.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 36% · Nie 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

SV Spittal/Drau

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

TSU Matrei

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalHostia matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Výhra probability excluding draw
17%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.71
Expected goals
0.56
SV Spittal/DrauTSU Matrei
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SV Spittal/Drau signalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02TSU Matrei signalHostia matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

SV Spittal/Drau vs TSU Matrei FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SV Spittal/Drau výhra 55%,Remíza 28%,TSU Matrei výhra 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Viac 2.5 40% · Current selection Menej