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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Fixture ·

Juventud Unida Universitario vs FADEP Mendoza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–01.10 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw41%
Away win25%
Full model forecastDrawTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDraw41% selection probability
Projected score1–0Juventud Unida UniversitarioFADEP Mendoza
Expected goals1.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under90% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo82% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 41% / 25%Match resultDraw41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FADEP Mendoza win (25.2%)Double chance1X74.8%1.34
Over 10% · Under 90%Goals 2.5Under90%1.11
Yes 18% · No 82%Both teams scoreNo82%1.22
1.10 total expected goalsCorrect score1–0
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Juventud Unida Universitario win34%2.94
Draw41%2.44
FADEP Mendoza win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventud Unida Universitario0.64

Home share of expected goals 58.2%

Total expected goals1.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 10% · Under 90%

FADEP Mendoza0.46

Away share of expected goals 41.8%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitYes 18% · No 82%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Juventud Unida Universitario

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

FADEP Mendoza

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
2
Points from supplied form
9
0.64
Expected goals
0.46
Juventud Unida UniversitarioFADEP Mendoza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventud Unida Universitario signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FADEP Mendoza signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 41%.

Match questions

Juventud Unida Universitario vs FADEP Mendoza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Draw · Projected score 1–0 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventud Unida Universitario win 34%,Draw 41%,FADEP Mendoza win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.10 · Over 2.5 10% · Current selection Under