Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 23% / 32%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Double chance1277.2%1.30
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.27 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Livorno win46%2.17
Draw23%4.35
Empoli win32%3.13
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 55%
Total expected goals3.27Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%
Away share of expected goals 45%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchLivorno
W
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3
SignalHome unbeaten 1/1
Away-context · form sequence
1.25pts / matchEmpoli
DWLD
Played4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Points5
SignalNo recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
46%
Win probability excluding draw
32%3
Points from supplied form
51.80
Expected goals
1.47LivornoEmpoli
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Livorno vs Empoli FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Livorno win 46%，Draw 23%，Empoli win 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.27 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over。