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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Livorno vs Empoli

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–1Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst32%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 46% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score2–1LivornoEmpoli
Expected goals3.27Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 23% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Dubbele Kans1277.2%1.30
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.27 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Livorno win46%2.17
Gelijkspel23%4.35
Empoli win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Livorno1.80

Thuis share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals3.27Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

Empoli1.47

Uit share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Livorno

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Punten3

SignalThuis unbeaten 1/1

Uit-context · form sequence

Empoli

1.25pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Punten5

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
3
Points from supplied form
5
1.80
Expected goals
1.47
LivornoEmpoli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Livorno signalThuis unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Empoli signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Livorno vs Empoli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Livorno gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 23%,Empoli gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven