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INT New Zealand Southern League · Fixture ·

Northern AFC vs Dunedin City Royals FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.38 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw22%
Away win35%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Northern AFCDunedin City Royals FC
Expected goals3.38Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 22% / 35%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22%)Double chance1278%1.28
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.38 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
11.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Northern AFC win43%2.332.1042.8%
Draw22%4.554.1021.9%
Dunedin City Royals FC win35%2.862.5535.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Northern AFC1.81

Home share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals3.38Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

Dunedin City Royals FC1.57

Away share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Northern AFC

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Dunedin City Royals FC

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.81
Expected goals
1.57
Northern AFCDunedin City Royals FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Northern AFC signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dunedin City Royals FC signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Northern AFC vs Dunedin City Royals FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Northern AFC win 43%,Draw 22%,Dunedin City Royals FC win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over