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SVK Slovakia 3. Liga · Fixture ·

FK Belusa vs Dunajska Streda B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.32 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw25%
Away win26%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK BelusaDunajska Streda B
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 25% / 26%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Double chance1274.9%1.34
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.32 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDunajska Streda B winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Belusa win49%2.041.8348.9%+0.1 pp
Draw25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Dunajska Streda B win26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Belusa1.37

Home share of expected goals 59.1%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%

Dunajska Streda B0.95

Away share of expected goals 40.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Belusa

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Dunajska Streda B

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
13
Points from supplied form
4
1.37
Expected goals
0.95
FK BelusaDunajska Streda B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Belusa signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dunajska Streda B signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FK Belusa vs Dunajska Streda B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Belusa win 49%,Draw 25%,Dunajska Streda B win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under