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SVK Slovakia 3. Liga · Fixture ·

MSK Tesla Stropkov vs FC Lokomotiva Kosice

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Away form
Home win62%
Draw21%
Away win17%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win62% selection probability
Projected score3–1MSK Tesla StropkovFC Lokomotiva Kosice
Expected goals3.76Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
62% / 21% / 17%Match resultHome win62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Lokomotiva Kosice win (16.6%)Double chance1X83.4%1.20
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
3.76 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapMSK Tesla Stropkov winDifference+2.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSK Tesla Stropkov win62%1.611.5059.7%+2.3 pp
Draw21%4.764.0022.4%-1.4 pp
FC Lokomotiva Kosice win17%5.885.0017.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Tesla Stropkov3.01

Home share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals3.76Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

FC Lokomotiva Kosice0.75

Away share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

MSK Tesla Stropkov

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Lokomotiva Kosice

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Win probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
11
3.01
Expected goals
0.75
MSK Tesla StropkovFC Lokomotiva Kosice
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Tesla Stropkov signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Lokomotiva Kosice signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

MSK Tesla Stropkov vs FC Lokomotiva Kosice FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Tesla Stropkov win 62%,Draw 21%,FC Lokomotiva Kosice win 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over