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UZB Uzbekistan PFL · Fixture ·

Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Dinamo Samarqand

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.17 expected goals
Away form
Home win47%
Draw27%
Away win26%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score2–2Lokomotiv TashkentDinamo Samarqand
Expected goals3.17Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 27% / 26%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dinamo Samarqand win (25.9%)Double chance1X74.1%1.35
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.17 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapDinamo Samarqand winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lokomotiv Tashkent win47%2.131.9047.5%-0.5 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027.4%-0.4 pp
Dinamo Samarqand win26%3.853.6025.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lokomotiv Tashkent1.62

Home share of expected goals 51.1%

Total expected goals3.17Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Dinamo Samarqand1.55

Away share of expected goals 48.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Tashkent

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Dinamo Samarqand

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.62
Expected goals
1.55
Lokomotiv TashkentDinamo Samarqand
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lokomotiv Tashkent signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dinamo Samarqand signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Dinamo Samarqand FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lokomotiv Tashkent win 47%,Draw 27%,Dinamo Samarqand win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over