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COL Colombia Regional League · Fixture ·

FC Leones Reserves vs Dimelo Jara FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.27 expected goals
Away form
Home win31%
Draw24%
Away win45%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win45% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC Leones ReservesDimelo Jara FC
Expected goals3.27Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 24% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Double chance1275.8%1.32
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Leones Reserves win31%3.233.0029.9%
Draw24%4.173.7024.2%
Dimelo Jara FC win45%2.221.9545.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Leones Reserves1.54

Home share of expected goals 47.1%

Total expected goals3.27Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Dimelo Jara FC1.73

Away share of expected goals 52.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Leones Reserves

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Dimelo Jara FC

3.00pts / match
Played2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Points6

SignalAway unbeaten 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Win probability excluding draw
45%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.54
Expected goals
1.73
FC Leones ReservesDimelo Jara FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Leones Reserves signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dimelo Jara FC signalAway unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FC Leones Reserves vs Dimelo Jara FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Leones Reserves win 31%,Draw 24%,Dimelo Jara FC win 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over