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FRA France Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Montpellier vs Dijon

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw28%
Away win23%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score1–1MontpellierDijon
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 28% / 23%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dijon win (23.3%)Double chance1X76.7%1.30
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Montpellier win49%2.041.8350%
Draw28%3.573.3027.7%
Dijon win23%4.354.1022.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Montpellier1.50

Home share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Dijon1.05

Away share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Montpellier

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Dijon

2.00pts / match
Played4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.50
Expected goals
1.05
MontpellierDijon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Montpellier signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dijon signalAway unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Montpellier vs Dijon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Montpellier win 49%,Draw 28%,Dijon win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under