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FRA Frankreich - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Montpellier vs Dijon

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg49%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg23%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg49% selection probability
Projected score1–1MontpellierDijon
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
49% / 28% / 23%SpielergebnisHeimsieg49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dijon win (23.3%)Doppelte Chance1X76.7%1.30
Über 47% · Unter 53%Goals 2.5Unter53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Montpellier win49%2.041.8350%
Unentschieden28%3.573.3027.7%
Dijon win23%4.354.1022.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Montpellier1.50

Heim share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 47% · Unter 53%

Dijon1.05

Auswärts share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Montpellier

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Dijon

2.00pts / match
Gespielt4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Punkte8

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
23%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.50
Expected goals
1.05
MontpellierDijon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Montpellier signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dijon signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Montpellier vs Dijon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Montpellier Gewinn 49%,Unentschieden 28%,Dijon Gewinn 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Über 2.5 47% · Current selection Unter