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NIR Northern Ireland Premier League Women · Fixture ·

Derry City (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.23 expected goals
Away form
Home win27%
Draw23%
Away win50%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 50% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win50% selection probability
Projected score1–2Derry City (W)Lisburn Rangers (W)
Expected goals3.23Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 23% / 50%Match resultAway win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.7%)Double chance1277.3%1.29
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.23 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Derry City (W) win27%3.703.5025.7%
Draw23%4.354.0022.4%
Lisburn Rangers (W) win50%2.001.7351.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Derry City (W)1.44

Home share of expected goals 44.6%

Total expected goals3.23Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Lisburn Rangers (W)1.79

Away share of expected goals 55.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Derry City (W)

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Lisburn Rangers (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Win probability excluding draw
50%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.44
Expected goals
1.79
Derry City (W)Lisburn Rangers (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Derry City (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lisburn Rangers (W) signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Derry City (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Derry City (W) win 27%,Draw 23%,Lisburn Rangers (W) win 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over