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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Fixture ·

Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.20 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw30%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sol de MayoDeportivo Rincon
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 30% / 21%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Rincon win (21.4%)Double chance1X78.6%1.27
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 39% · No 61%Both teams scoreNo61%1.64
2.20 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sol de Mayo win49%2.04
Draw30%3.33
Deportivo Rincon win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sol de Mayo1.51

Home share of expected goals 68.6%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

Deportivo Rincon0.69

Away share of expected goals 31.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 39% · No 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sol de Mayo

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Deportivo Rincon

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
6
1.51
Expected goals
0.69
Sol de MayoDeportivo Rincon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sol de Mayo signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Rincon signalAway failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sol de Mayo win 49%,Draw 30%,Deportivo Rincon win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under