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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Final ·

Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincón

Prediction review

Local form
Final score2–4Pronóstico 2–1
Visitante form
Victoria local49%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante21%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 49% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sol de MayoDeportivo Rincón
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de62% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
49% / 30% / 21%Resultado del partidoVictoria local49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Rincón win (21.4%)Doble Oportunidad1X78.6%1.27
Más de 38% · Menos de 62%Goals 2.5Menos de62%1.61
Sí 39% · No 61%Ambos equipos marcanNo61%1.64
2.20 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Sol de Mayo win49%2.04
Empate30%3.33
Deportivo Rincón win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sol de Mayo1.51

Local share of expected goals 68.6%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 38% · Menos de 62%

Deportivo Rincón0.69

Visitante share of expected goals 31.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 39% · No 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Sol de Mayo

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Deportivo Rincón

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalVisitante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Ganado probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
6
1.51
Expected goals
0.69
Sol de MayoDeportivo Rincón
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sol de Mayo signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Rincón signalVisitante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincón FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sol de Mayo ganada 49%,Empate 30%,Deportivo Rincón ganada 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · Más de 2.5 38% · Current selection Menos de