Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 26% / 17%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores Puerto Vilelas win (17.1%)Double chance1X82.9%1.21
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
2.32 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapSportivo Las Parejas winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Las Parejas win57%1.751.6055.8%+1.2 pp
Draw26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Defensores Puerto Vilelas win17%5.885.0017.9%-0.9 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 77.2%
Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%
Away share of expected goals 22.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchSportivo Las Parejas
LDDDD
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchDefensores Puerto Vilelas
WLWWL
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
57%
Win probability excluding draw
17%4
Points from supplied form
91.79
Expected goals
0.53Sportivo Las ParejasDefensores Puerto Vilelas
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sportivo Las Parejas win 57%，Draw 26%，Defensores Puerto Vilelas win 17%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.32 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under。