Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 22% / 23%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.3%)Double chance1277.7%1.29
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.42 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapCsepel winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monori SE win55%1.821.6255.2%-0.2 pp
Draw22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Csepel win23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 58.8%
Total expected goals3.42Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%
Away share of expected goals 41.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchMonori SE
LLLDL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchCsepel
LDWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
23%1
Points from supplied form
72.01
Expected goals
1.41Monori SECsepel
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Monori SE vs Csepel FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Monori SE win 55%，Draw 22%，Csepel win 23%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.42 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over。