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HUN Hungary NB III · Match ·

Monori SE vs Csepel

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.42 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger55%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger23%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Monori SECsepel
Expected goals3.42Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över66% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
55% / 22% / 23%MatchresultatHemmaseger55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.3%)Dubbelchans1277.7%1.29
Över 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Över66%1.52
Ja 66% · Nej 34%Båda lagen gör målJa66%1.52
3.42 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.0 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapCsepel winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monori SE win55%1.821.6255.2%-0.2 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Csepel win23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monori SE2.01

Hemma share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals3.42Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 66% · Under 34%

Csepel1.41

Borta share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nej 34%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Monori SE

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Csepel

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
23%
1
Points from supplied form
7
2.01
Expected goals
1.41
Monori SECsepel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monori SE signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Csepel signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Monori SE vs Csepel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monori SE vunnen 55%,Oavgjort 22%,Csepel vunnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Över 2.5 66% · Current selection Över