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HUN Hungary NB II · Fixture ·

Csakvari TK vs Kozarmisleny SE

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw27%
Away win33%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score2–1Csakvari TKKozarmisleny SE
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 27% / 33%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Double chance1273%1.37
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapCsakvari TK winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Csakvari TK win40%2.502.2539.8%+0.2 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Kozarmisleny SE win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Csakvari TK1.56

Home share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Kozarmisleny SE1.37

Away share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Csakvari TK

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Kozarmisleny SE

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.56
Expected goals
1.37
Csakvari TKKozarmisleny SE
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Csakvari TK signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kozarmisleny SE signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Csakvari TK vs Kozarmisleny SE FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Csakvari TK win 40%,Draw 27%,Kozarmisleny SE win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over