Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
76% / 15% / 9%Match resultHome win76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Coastal Union win (8.7%)Double chance1X91.3%1.10
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 32% · No 68%Both teams scoreNo68%1.47
3.29 total expected goalsCorrect score3–0——
8.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapSimba Sports Club winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Simba Sports Club win76%1.321.2074.9%+1.1 pp
Draw15%6.675.7515.6%-0.6 pp
Coastal Union win9%11.119.509.5%-0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 87.5%
Total expected goals3.29Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%
Away share of expected goals 12.5%
Projected score3–0BTTS splitYes 32% · No 68%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchSimba Sports Club
WWWWW
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchCoastal Union
LDWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
76%
Win probability excluding draw
9%15
Points from supplied form
72.88
Expected goals
0.41Simba Sports ClubCoastal Union
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 15%.
Match questions
Simba Sports Club vs Coastal Union FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–0 · 76% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Simba Sports Club win 76%，Draw 15%，Coastal Union win 9%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.29 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over。