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TZA Tanzania Premier League · Kamp ·

Simba Sports Club vs Coastal Union

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–03.29 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier76%
Uavgjort15%
Borteseier9%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier76% selection probability
Projected score3–0Simba Sports ClubCoastal Union
Expected goals3.29Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
76% / 15% / 9%KampresultatHjemmeseier76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Coastal Union win (8.7%)Dobbel sjanse1X91.3%1.10
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Ja 32% · Nei 68%Begge lag scorerNei68%1.47
3.29 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–0
8.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapSimba Sports Club winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Simba Sports Club win76%1.321.2074.9%+1.1 pp
Uavgjort15%6.675.7515.6%-0.6 pp
Coastal Union win9%11.119.509.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Simba Sports Club2.88

Hjemme share of expected goals 87.5%

Total expected goals3.29Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Coastal Union0.41

Borte share of expected goals 12.5%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitJa 32% · Nei 68%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Simba Sports Club

3.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Poeng15

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Coastal Union

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
76%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
9%
15
Points from supplied form
7
2.88
Expected goals
0.41
Simba Sports ClubCoastal Union
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Simba Sports Club signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Coastal Union signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Simba Sports Club vs Coastal Union FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–0 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Simba Sports Club vunnet 76%,Uavgjort 15%,Coastal Union vunnet 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over