Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 30% / 35%Match resultAway win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Double chance1270.3%1.42
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.27 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapRebordosa winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chaves B win35%2.862.6333.9%+1.1 pp
Draw30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Rebordosa win35%2.862.4536.4%-1.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 58.6%
Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%
Away share of expected goals 41.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchChaves B
LDDWW
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchRebordosa
LWDLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
35%
Win probability excluding draw
35%8
Points from supplied form
41.33
Expected goals
0.94Chaves BRebordosa
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Chaves B vs Rebordosa FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Chaves B win 35%，Draw 30%，Rebordosa win 35%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.27 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under。