Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
5% / 11% / 84%Match resultAway win84%1.19
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nacional-Humaita (W) win (5.4%)Double chanceX294.6%1.06
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.48 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin6.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nacional-Humaita (W) win5%20.0023.004.1%—
Draw11%9.0910.009.4%—
Cerro Porteno (W) win84%1.191.0886.6%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 29.6%
Total expected goals3.48Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%
Away share of expected goals 70.4%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchNacional-Humaita (W)
LWWLL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchCerro Porteno (W)
WDLWD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
5%
Win probability excluding draw
84%6
Points from supplied form
81.03
Expected goals
2.45Nacional-Humaita (W)Cerro Porteno (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 11%.
Match questions
Nacional-Humaita (W) vs Cerro Porteno (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 84% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Nacional-Humaita (W) win 5%，Draw 11%，Cerro Porteno (W) win 84%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.48 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over。