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INT Paraguay Women League · Fixture ·

Sportivo Luqueno (W) vs Deportivo Recoleta (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.41 expected goals
Away form
Home win21%
Draw22%
Away win56%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 56% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win56% selection probability
Projected score1–2Sportivo Luqueno (W)Deportivo Recoleta (W)
Expected goals3.41Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
21% / 22% / 56%Match resultAway win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sportivo Luqueno (W) win (21.5%)Double chanceX278.5%1.27
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.41 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Luqueno (W) win21%4.764.5019.8%
Draw22%4.554.1021.8%
Deportivo Recoleta (W) win56%1.791.5358.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Luqueno (W)1.39

Home share of expected goals 40.8%

Total expected goals3.41Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

Deportivo Recoleta (W)2.02

Away share of expected goals 59.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sportivo Luqueno (W)

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Deportivo Recoleta (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Win probability excluding draw
56%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.39
Expected goals
2.02
Sportivo Luqueno (W)Deportivo Recoleta (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Luqueno (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Recoleta (W) signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sportivo Luqueno (W) vs Deportivo Recoleta (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Luqueno (W) win 21%,Draw 22%,Deportivo Recoleta (W) win 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.41 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over