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ARG Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Final ·

Central Ballester vs Club Leandro N. Alem

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win35%
Draw29%
Away win37%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Central BallesterClub Leandro N. Alem
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 29% / 37%Match resultAway win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Double chance1271.4%1.40
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.75 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
7.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Central Ballester win35%2.86
Draw29%3.45
Club Leandro N. Alem win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Central Ballester1.34

Home share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Club Leandro N. Alem1.41

Away share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Central Ballester

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Club Leandro N. Alem

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.34
Expected goals
1.41
Central BallesterClub Leandro N. Alem
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Central Ballester signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Leandro N. Alem signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Central Ballester vs Club Leandro N. Alem FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Central Ballester win 35%,Draw 29%,Club Leandro N. Alem win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over