Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 25% / 25%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Double chance1275.4%1.33
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.70 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Ceara (W) win51%1.96
Draw25%4.00
Sport Recife (W) win25%4.00
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 60.7%
Total expected goals2.70Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 39.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchCeara (W)
LLWLL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchSport Recife (W)
WDWLL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
51%
Win probability excluding draw
25%3
Points from supplied form
71.64
Expected goals
1.06Ceara (W)Sport Recife (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Ceara (W) vs Sport Recife (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Ceara (W) win 51%，Draw 25%，Sport Recife (W) win 25%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.70 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。