Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 29% / 19%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Ada Jaen win (19.2%)Double chance1X80.8%1.24
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 38% · No 62%Both teams scoreNo62%1.61
2.23 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
CD Universidad San Martin win51%1.96
Draw29%3.45
Club Ada Jaen win19%5.26
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 71.3%
Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%
Away share of expected goals 28.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchCD Universidad San Martin
LWLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchClub Ada Jaen
DLWDL
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
51%
Win probability excluding draw
19%6
Points from supplied form
51.59
Expected goals
0.64CD Universidad San MartinClub Ada Jaen
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
CD Universidad San Martin vs Club Ada Jaen FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
CD Universidad San Martin win 51%，Draw 29%，Club Ada Jaen win 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.23 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under。