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SLV El Salvador Reserves League · Fixture ·

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves vs CD Municipal Limeno Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.60 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw28%
Away win23%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD Luis Angel Firpo ReservesCD Municipal Limeno Reserves
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 28% / 23%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Municipal Limeno Reserves win (23.2%)Double chance1X76.8%1.30
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves win49%2.04
Draw28%3.57
CD Municipal Limeno Reserves win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves1.71

Home share of expected goals 65.8%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

CD Municipal Limeno Reserves0.89

Away share of expected goals 34.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

CD Municipal Limeno Reserves

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.71
Expected goals
0.89
CD Luis Angel Firpo ReservesCD Municipal Limeno Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Municipal Limeno Reserves signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves vs CD Municipal Limeno Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves win 49%,Draw 28%,CD Municipal Limeno Reserves win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under