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AUS Australia Capital Territory Premier League · Fixture ·

Canberra Olympic vs Tigers FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–34.66 expected goals
Away form
Home win20%
Draw17%
Away win63%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win63% selection probability
Projected score1–3Canberra OlympicTigers FC
Expected goals4.66Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over84% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
20% / 17% / 63%Match resultAway win63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (16.8%)Double chance1283.2%1.20
Over 84% · Under 16%Goals 2.5Over84%1.19
Yes 72% · No 28%Both teams scoreYes72%1.39
4.66 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapTigers FC winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Canberra Olympic win20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp
Draw17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Tigers FC win63%1.591.4462.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Canberra Olympic1.38

Home share of expected goals 29.6%

Total expected goals4.66Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 84% · Under 16%

Tigers FC3.28

Away share of expected goals 70.4%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 72% · No 28%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Canberra Olympic

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Tigers FC

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Win probability excluding draw
63%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.38
Expected goals
3.28
Canberra OlympicTigers FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Canberra Olympic signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tigers FC signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Canberra Olympic vs Tigers FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Canberra Olympic win 20%,Draw 17%,Tigers FC win 63%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.66 · Over 2.5 84% · Current selection Over