Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 27% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Double chance1273.5%1.36
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.16 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
San Francisco Reserves win29%3.45
Draw27%3.70
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves win45%2.22
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 41.1%
Total expected goals3.16Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%
Away share of expected goals 58.9%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchSan Francisco Reserves
LLLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchCA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
WWDWL
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
29%
Win probability excluding draw
45%3
Points from supplied form
101.30
Expected goals
1.86San Francisco ReservesCA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
San Francisco Reserves vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
San Francisco Reserves win 29%，Draw 27%，CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves win 45%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.16 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over。