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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

Villa Dalmine vs CA Brown de Adrogue

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–0Forecast 1–0
Away form
Home win46%
Draw31%
Away win22%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score1–0Villa DalmineCA Brown de Adrogue
Expected goals1.54Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under80% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo75% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 31% / 22%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Brown de Adrogue win (22.3%)Double chance1X77.7%1.29
Over 20% · Under 80%Goals 2.5Under80%1.25
Yes 25% · No 75%Both teams scoreNo75%1.33
1.54 total expected goalsCorrect score1–0
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapCA Brown de Adrogue winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Villa Dalmine win46%2.171.9546%0.0 pp
Draw31%3.232.9031%0.0 pp
CA Brown de Adrogue win22%4.553.9023%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Villa Dalmine1.08

Home share of expected goals 70.1%

Total expected goals1.54Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 20% · Under 80%

CA Brown de Adrogue0.46

Away share of expected goals 29.9%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitYes 25% · No 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Villa Dalmine

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

CA Brown de Adrogue

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.08
Expected goals
0.46
Villa DalmineCA Brown de Adrogue
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Villa Dalmine signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Brown de Adrogue signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Villa Dalmine vs CA Brown de Adrogue FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–0 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Villa Dalmine win 46%,Draw 31%,CA Brown de Adrogue win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.54 · Over 2.5 20% · Current selection Under