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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

Sportivo Italiano vs CS Dock Sud

Prediction review

Home form
Final score4–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win48%
Draw29%
Away win22%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo ItalianoCS Dock Sud
Expected goals1.87Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 29% / 22%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CS Dock Sud win (22.5%)Double chance1X77.5%1.29
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Yes 36% · No 64%Both teams scoreNo64%1.56
1.87 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapSportivo Italiano winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Italiano win48%2.081.8348.8%-0.8 pp
Draw29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
CS Dock Sud win22%4.554.0022.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Italiano1.12

Home share of expected goals 59.9%

Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%

CS Dock Sud0.75

Away share of expected goals 40.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 36% · No 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sportivo Italiano

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

CS Dock Sud

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
9
1.12
Expected goals
0.75
Sportivo ItalianoCS Dock Sud
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Italiano signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CS Dock Sud signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sportivo Italiano vs CS Dock Sud FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Italiano win 48%,Draw 29%,CS Dock Sud win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.87 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under