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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

Sportivo Italiano vs CS Dock Sud

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score4–0Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg48%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg22%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo ItalianoCS Dock Sud
Expected goals1.87Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter71% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
48% / 29% / 22%SpielergebnisHeimsieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CS Dock Sud win (22.5%)Doppelte Chance1X77.5%1.29
Über 29% · Unter 71%Goals 2.5Unter71%1.41
Ja 36% · Nein 64%Beide Teams treffenNein64%1.56
1.87 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.8 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapSportivo Italiano winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Italiano win48%2.081.8348.8%-0.8 pp
Unentschieden29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
CS Dock Sud win22%4.554.0022.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Italiano1.12

Heim share of expected goals 59.9%

Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 29% · Unter 71%

CS Dock Sud0.75

Auswärts share of expected goals 40.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 36% · Nein 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sportivo Italiano

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

CS Dock Sud

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
9
1.12
Expected goals
0.75
Sportivo ItalianoCS Dock Sud
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Italiano signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CS Dock Sud signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sportivo Italiano vs CS Dock Sud FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Italiano Gewinn 48%,Unentschieden 29%,CS Dock Sud Gewinn 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.87 · Über 2.5 29% · Current selection Unter