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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

Villa Dalmine vs CA Brown de Adrogue

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–0Voorspelling 1–0
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel31%
Uitwinst22%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score1–0Villa DalmineCA Brown de Adrogue
Expected goals1.54Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder80% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee75% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 31% / 22%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Brown de Adrogue win (22.3%)Dubbele Kans1X77.7%1.29
Boven 20% · Onder 80%Goals 2.5Onder80%1.25
Ja 25% · Nee 75%Beide teams scorenNee75%1.33
1.54 total expected goalsExacte score1–0
9.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapCA Brown de Adrogue winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Villa Dalmine win46%2.171.9546%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel31%3.232.9031%0.0 pp
CA Brown de Adrogue win22%4.553.9023%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Villa Dalmine1.08

Thuis share of expected goals 70.1%

Total expected goals1.54Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 20% · Onder 80%

CA Brown de Adrogue0.46

Uit share of expected goals 29.9%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 25% · Nee 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Villa Dalmine

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

CA Brown de Adrogue

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.08
Expected goals
0.46
Villa DalmineCA Brown de Adrogue
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Villa Dalmine signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Brown de Adrogue signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Villa Dalmine vs CA Brown de Adrogue FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–0 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Villa Dalmine gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 31%,CA Brown de Adrogue gewonnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.54 · Boven 2.5 20% · Current selection Onder