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ENG England Southern Premier League South · Fixture ·

Plymouth Parkway vs Bracknell Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.96 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw28%
Away win39%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Plymouth ParkwayBracknell Town
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 28% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Double chance1272.4%1.38
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
2.96 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Plymouth Parkway win34%2.94
Draw28%3.57
Bracknell Town win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Plymouth Parkway1.40

Home share of expected goals 47.3%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Bracknell Town1.56

Away share of expected goals 52.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Plymouth Parkway

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Bracknell Town

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.40
Expected goals
1.56
Plymouth ParkwayBracknell Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Plymouth Parkway signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bracknell Town signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Plymouth Parkway vs Bracknell Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Plymouth Parkway win 34%,Draw 28%,Bracknell Town win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over