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ENG Angleterre - Southern Premier League South · Match ·

Plymouth Parkway vs Bracknell Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.96 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile34%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur39%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Plymouth ParkwayBracknell Town
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
34% / 28% / 39%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Double chance1272.4%1.38
Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%Goals 2.5Plus de57%1.75
Oui 60% · Non 40%Les deux équipes marquentOui60%1.67
2.96 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Plymouth Parkway win34%2.94
Nul28%3.57
Bracknell Town win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Plymouth Parkway1.40

Domicile share of expected goals 47.3%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%

Bracknell Town1.56

Extérieur share of expected goals 52.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 60% · Non 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Plymouth Parkway

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Bracknell Town

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gagné probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.40
Expected goals
1.56
Plymouth ParkwayBracknell Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Plymouth Parkway signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bracknell Town signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Plymouth Parkway vs Bracknell Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Plymouth Parkway victoire 34%,Nul 28%,Bracknell Town victoire 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Plus de 2.5 57% · Current selection Plus de