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SWE Sweden 1.div Södra · Fixture ·

Jonkopings Sodra vs BK Olympic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
Away form
Home win52%
Draw24%
Away win24%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Jonkopings SodraBK Olympic
Expected goals3.06Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
52% / 24% / 24%Match resultHome win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Double chance1276.3%1.31
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
3.06 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapJonkopings Sodra winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Jonkopings Sodra win52%1.921.7352.2%-0.2 pp
Draw24%4.173.8023.8%+0.2 pp
BK Olympic win24%4.173.7524.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jonkopings Sodra1.81

Home share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals3.06Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

BK Olympic1.25

Away share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Jonkopings Sodra

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

BK Olympic

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.81
Expected goals
1.25
Jonkopings SodraBK Olympic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jonkopings Sodra signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02BK Olympic signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Jonkopings Sodra vs BK Olympic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jonkopings Sodra win 52%,Draw 24%,BK Olympic win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over