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COL Colombia Regional League · Final ·

Belen Arco Zaragoza vs Dimelo Jara FC

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–4Forecast 2–2
Away form
Home win28%
Draw24%
Away win48%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 48% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win48% selection probability
Projected score2–2Belen Arco ZaragozaDimelo Jara FC
Expected goals3.36Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 24% / 48%Match resultAway win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.1%)Double chance1275.9%1.32
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.36 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Belen Arco Zaragoza win28%3.573.3027.1%
Draw24%4.173.7024.1%
Dimelo Jara FC win48%2.081.8348.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Belen Arco Zaragoza1.52

Home share of expected goals 45.2%

Total expected goals3.36Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Dimelo Jara FC1.84

Away share of expected goals 54.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Belen Arco Zaragoza

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Dimelo Jara FC

3.00pts / match
Played3Wins3Drawn0Losses0Points9

SignalAway unbeaten 3/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
48%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.52
Expected goals
1.84
Belen Arco ZaragozaDimelo Jara FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Belen Arco Zaragoza signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dimelo Jara FC signalAway unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Belen Arco Zaragoza vs Dimelo Jara FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Belen Arco Zaragoza win 28%,Draw 24%,Dimelo Jara FC win 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over