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INT Dominica Premier League · Fixture ·

Promex Harlem United SC vs Bath Estate

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.64 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw24%
Away win33%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Promex Harlem United SCBath Estate
Expected goals3.64Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 24% / 33%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Double chance1275.7%1.32
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 71% · No 29%Both teams scoreYes71%1.41
3.64 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Promex Harlem United SC win43%2.332.0543.2%
Draw24%4.173.6024.6%
Bath Estate win33%3.032.7532.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Promex Harlem United SC1.94

Home share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals3.64Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

Bath Estate1.70

Away share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 71% · No 29%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Promex Harlem United SC

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Bath Estate

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.94
Expected goals
1.70
Promex Harlem United SCBath Estate
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Promex Harlem United SC signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bath Estate signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Promex Harlem United SC vs Bath Estate FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Promex Harlem United SC win 43%,Draw 24%,Bath Estate win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.64 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over