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INT Australia New South Wales League 1 · Fixture ·

Bankstown City Lions FC vs Hurstville FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.21 expected goals
Away form
Home win45%
Draw26%
Away win29%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Bankstown City Lions FCHurstville FC
Expected goals3.21Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 26% / 29%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Double chance1273.6%1.36
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.21 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Bankstown City Lions FC win45%2.22
Draw26%3.85
Hurstville FC win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bankstown City Lions FC1.89

Home share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals3.21Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Hurstville FC1.32

Away share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Bankstown City Lions FC

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Hurstville FC

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
1.32
Bankstown City Lions FCHurstville FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bankstown City Lions FC signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hurstville FC signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Bankstown City Lions FC vs Hurstville FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bankstown City Lions FC win 45%,Draw 26%,Hurstville FC win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over