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INT North Macedonia First League · Final ·

Bregalnica Stip vs Aresimi 1973

Prediction review

Home form
Final score4–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win45%
Draw25%
Away win30%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 45% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Bregalnica StipAresimi 1973
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 25% / 30%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Double chance1275%1.33
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.82 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bregalnica Stip win45%2.222.0045%
Draw25%4.003.6025%
Aresimi 1973 win30%3.333.0030%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bregalnica Stip1.59

Home share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

Aresimi 19731.23

Away share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Bregalnica Stip

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalAway failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Aresimi 1973

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
0
Points from supplied form
2
1.59
Expected goals
1.23
Bregalnica StipAresimi 1973
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bregalnica Stip signalAway failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aresimi 1973 signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Bregalnica Stip vs Aresimi 1973 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bregalnica Stip win 45%,Draw 25%,Aresimi 1973 win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over