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ZAF South Africa Premier · Fixture ·

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.58 expected goals
Away form
Home win67%
Draw21%
Away win11%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win67% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mamelodi SundownsAmazulu
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
67% / 21% / 11%Match resultHome win67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Amazulu win (11.4%)Double chance1X88.6%1.13
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.58 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapMamelodi Sundowns winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mamelodi Sundowns win67%1.491.3367.4%-0.4 pp
Draw21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
Amazulu win11%9.098.0011.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mamelodi Sundowns1.85

Home share of expected goals 71.7%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Amazulu0.73

Away share of expected goals 28.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Mamelodi Sundowns

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Amazulu

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Win probability excluding draw
11%
8
Points from supplied form
8
1.85
Expected goals
0.73
Mamelodi SundownsAmazulu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mamelodi Sundowns signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Amazulu signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mamelodi Sundowns win 67%,Draw 21%,Amazulu win 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under