MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
NLD Netherlands Eerste Divisie · Fixture ·

FC Den Bosch vs Almere City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.96 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw25%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC Den BoschAlmere City
Expected goals3.96Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over76% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 25% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Double chance1275.3%1.33
Over 76% · Under 24%Goals 2.5Over76%1.32
Yes 74% · No 26%Both teams scoreYes74%1.35
3.96 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Den Bosch win34%2.94
Draw25%4.00
Almere City win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Den Bosch1.83

Home share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals3.96Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 76% · Under 24%

Almere City2.13

Away share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 74% · No 26%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Den Bosch

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Almere City

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.83
Expected goals
2.13
FC Den BoschAlmere City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Den Bosch signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Almere City signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Den Bosch vs Almere City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Den Bosch win 34%,Draw 25%,Almere City win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.96 · Over 2.5 76% · Current selection Over