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NLD Tarile de Jos - Eerste Divisie · Meci ·

FC Den Bosch vs Almere City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–23.96 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde34%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți41%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți41% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC Den BoschAlmere City
Expected goals3.96Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste76% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
34% / 25% / 41%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Șansă dublă1275.3%1.33
Peste 76% · Sub 24%Goals 2.5Peste76%1.32
Da 74% · Nu 26%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa74%1.35
3.96 total expected goalsScor corect2–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
FC Den Bosch win34%2.94
Egal25%4.00
Almere City win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Den Bosch1.83

Gazde share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals3.96Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 76% · Sub 24%

Almere City2.13

Oaspeți share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitDa 74% · Nu 26%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FC Den Bosch

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Almere City

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Câștig probability excluding draw
41%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.83
Expected goals
2.13
FC Den BoschAlmere City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Den Bosch signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Almere City signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Den Bosch vs Almere City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Den Bosch câștig 34%,Egal 25%,Almere City câștig 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.96 · Peste 2.5 76% · Current selection Peste