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INT Saudi Arabia Pro League · Final ·

Al Kholood vs Al Taawon Buraidah

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–2Forecast 1–2
Away form
Home win25%
Draw28%
Away win47%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 47% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win47% selection probability
Projected score1–2Al KholoodAl Taawon Buraidah
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
25% / 28% / 47%Match resultAway win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Kholood win (25.4%)Double chanceX274.6%1.34
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.72 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Al Kholood win25%4.00
Draw28%3.57
Al Taawon Buraidah win47%2.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Kholood1.01

Home share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Al Taawon Buraidah1.71

Away share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Al Kholood

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Al Taawon Buraidah

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Win probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.01
Expected goals
1.71
Al KholoodAl Taawon Buraidah
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Kholood signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Taawon Buraidah signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Al Kholood vs Al Taawon Buraidah FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Kholood win 25%,Draw 28%,Al Taawon Buraidah win 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over