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INT Saudi Arabia Pro League · Fixture ·

Al Hazm vs Al Draih

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.92 expected goals
Away form
Home win42%
Draw25%
Away win33%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al HazmAl Draih
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 25% / 33%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Double chance1275.5%1.32
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.92 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Al Hazm win42%2.38
Draw25%4.00
Al Draih win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Hazm1.56

Home share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Al Draih1.36

Away share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Al Hazm

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Al Draih

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.56
Expected goals
1.36
Al HazmAl Draih
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Hazm signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Draih signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Al Hazm vs Al Draih FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Hazm win 42%,Draw 25%,Al Draih win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over