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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

AEK Athens vs Athens Kallithea

Prediction review

Home form
Final score4–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win74%
Draw17%
Away win10%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 74% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win74% selection probability
Projected score2–1AEK AthensAthens Kallithea
Expected goals3.35Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
74% / 17% / 10%Match resultHome win74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athens Kallithea win (9.6%)Double chance1X90.4%1.11
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.35 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AEK Athens win74%1.351.1876.2%
Draw17%5.885.7515.6%
Athens Kallithea win10%10.0011.008.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AEK Athens2.30

Home share of expected goals 68.7%

Total expected goals3.35Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

Athens Kallithea1.05

Away share of expected goals 31.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

AEK Athens

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Athens Kallithea

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Win probability excluding draw
10%
10
Points from supplied form
0
2.30
Expected goals
1.05
AEK AthensAthens Kallithea
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AEK Athens signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athens Kallithea signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

AEK Athens vs Athens Kallithea FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AEK Athens win 74%,Draw 17%,Athens Kallithea win 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over