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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

AEK Athen vs Athens Kallithea

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score4–0Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg74%
Unentschieden17%
Auswärtssieg10%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 74% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg74% selection probability
Projected score2–1AEK AthenAthens Kallithea
Expected goals3.35Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über66% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
74% / 17% / 10%SpielergebnisHeimsieg74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athens Kallithea win (9.6%)Doppelte Chance1X90.4%1.11
Über 66% · Unter 34%Goals 2.5Über66%1.52
Ja 62% · Nein 38%Beide Teams treffenJa62%1.61
3.35 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AEK Athen win74%1.351.1876.2%
Unentschieden17%5.885.7515.6%
Athens Kallithea win10%10.0011.008.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AEK Athen2.30

Heim share of expected goals 68.7%

Total expected goals3.35Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 66% · Unter 34%

Athens Kallithea1.05

Auswärts share of expected goals 31.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 62% · Nein 38%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

AEK Athen

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Athens Kallithea

0.00pts / match
Gespielt0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punkte0

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
10%
10
Points from supplied form
0
2.30
Expected goals
1.05
AEK AthenAthens Kallithea
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AEK Athen signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athens Kallithea signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

AEK Athen vs Athens Kallithea FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AEK Athen Gewinn 74%,Unentschieden 17%,Athens Kallithea Gewinn 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · Über 2.5 66% · Current selection Über