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PRT Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Salgueiros vs AD Sanjoanense

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–1Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win39%
Draw29%
Away win32%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 39% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1SalgueirosAD Sanjoanense
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 29% / 32%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Double chance1271.4%1.40
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.37 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Salgueiros win39%2.562.3038.8%
Draw29%3.453.1028.8%
AD Sanjoanense win32%3.132.7532.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Salgueiros1.28

Home share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

AD Sanjoanense1.09

Away share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Salgueiros

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

AD Sanjoanense

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.28
Expected goals
1.09
SalgueirosAD Sanjoanense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Salgueiros signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Sanjoanense signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Salgueiros vs AD Sanjoanense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Salgueiros win 39%,Draw 29%,AD Sanjoanense win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under